Posts Tagged ‘l’

How To Carry Trade?

Sunday, April 26th, 2009

In currency markets, carry trading is done by many investors to take benefit of the basic economic principle that money flows where the returns are high. This constant flowing in and out of capital between the different markets is what makes carry trading profitable.

Carry trading is one of the fundamental trading strategies employed by professional forex traders. Leveraged carry trading is one of the favorite strategies employed by hedge fund and investment banks. You as a forex trader can also benefit from carry trading.

Carry trading means taking benefit of the interest rate difference between two currencies. Carry traders take benefit of the interest rate differential between two currencies by buying or going long on the high interest rate currency and selling or going short on low interest rate currency.

Lets use a simple example to make it clearer: lets assume, New Zealand dollar is offering an interest rate of 4.75% whereas the Japanese yen is offering an interest rate of 0.25%.

In order to carry trade, an investor buys New Zealand dollars (NZD) and sells Japanese Yens (JPY). As long as the exchange rate between the NZD and JPY does not change, the investor will earn a profit of 4.75-0.25=4.5%. Using a leverage of 5:1, this 4.5% return will be leveraged into 22.5%.

Another thing that can go in favor of the investor is if the currency pair NZD/JPY appreciates, he/she can get capital appreciation as well as a yield. Many times, appreciation will also happen as many other investors also jump on the bandwagon when they see a good carry trading opportunity.

It depends a lot on the mood of the investors as a group. If investors as a group have low risk aversion, carry trading will be profitable. But if the investors as a group suddenly develops high risk aversion, carry trading will become unprofitable.

By entering into a carry trade, an investor expects to profit from an interest rate differential between the two currencies. But if the low interest rate currency appreciates considerably for some reason or another, carry trade will become unprofitable.

Before carry trading, it essential that you identify the current trend of the currency pair and see whether it is moving in the right direction!

MACD (moving average convergence divergence) indicator can help you in this regard. You should enter the trade when MACD crosses the zero line from below. You should exit the trade when it crosses the zero line from above.

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Tax Benefits of Forex Trading

Friday, April 24th, 2009

Forex trading allows you to have the best of both worlds. When stock prices go up, you can benefit from forex trading. When stock prices go down, you can profit from forex trading.

Inflation goes up, you can profit from forex trading. Inflation goes down, you can profit from forex trading. Similarly, interest rates can go up or down, you will profit from forex trading.

For any investment in financial markets, you have to pay a capital gain tax. It can be a short term capital gain tax in case you take profit from a security within one year, taxed at your current tax rate.

And in case, you hold the security for more than one year before you take profit, you will have to pay long term capital gain tax, taxed at a rate of 15% only.

However, in case of forex markets, it doesnt matter if you take profit one minute after you enter a trade, one month or one year. 60% of your profits will be taxed as long term capital gains and only 40% will be taxed as short term capital gains.

Lets make it clear with an example. Suppose you make $10,000 investment in stocks and $10,000 investment in forex. Suppose your tax bracket is 33%. And lets suppose you made a profit of $10,000 in both stocks and forex each in six months.

In case of stocks, since you are in 33% tax bracket and you took profit within six months, your profits will be taxed as short term capital gain. That means you will have to pay (10,000) (0.33) =$3,300 as tax and your profit after taxes will be only $10,000-$3,300= $6,700.

In case of forex, it doesnt matter whether you took profit in six months or one year, 60% of your profit will be treated as long term capital gain and 40% will be treated as short term capital gains. That means 60% of $10,000 will be taxed at only 15% which is (0.6) (10,000) (0.15) =$900.

40% of your profits will be taxed as short term capital gains at your current tax rate of 33%. This is (0.4) (10,000) (0.33) = $1,320.

The tax that you pay on forex investment in total will be ($900) + ($1,320) =$2,220. Now compare your tax of $2,220 on forex investment with the tax of $3,300 on your stock investment and decide which is better.

The tax savings on forex investment like these can add up fast and accumulate into a sizable amount in your IRA or other tax deferred accounts.

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How Does Guaranteed Investment Certificate (GIC) Work in Canada?

Tuesday, April 21st, 2009

A Guaranteed Investment Certificate, or GIC is a type of Canadian investment in which the rate of return is guaranteed over a fixed period of time. Guaranteed Investment Certificates are relatively low-risk investments, and thus yield smaller returns than that of stocks, bonds and mutual funds. GIC’s are typically offered by banks or trust companies. These safe and secure Canadian investments earn interest at a fixed rate, variable rate, or based on a market-based index. Many Canadians view Guaranteed Investment Certificates an excellent choice for an investment portfolio that requires a measure of safety.

How do Guaranteed Investment Certificates Work? With GIC’s, you will invest an amount of money (determined by you) for a period of time that is determined by the specific type of Guaranteed Investment Certificate that you choose. Typically these periods of time vary greatly and can tend to range anywhere from 1 day to 10 years. GIC’s with longer terms will earn more interest than short term ones. When your Guaranteed Investment Certificate reaches the end of its term (otherwise known as ‘maturity,’) you will be able to access not only your initial investment, but the earned interest as well.

Some Canadian Guaranteed Investment Certificates require that the amount of money you invest initially remain ‘locked in’ for a minimum period of time (30 days for example). Other GIC’s will allow you to access your money before the investment matures. There are even Guaranteed Investment Certificates that allow you to add to your initial investment amount by making weekly, biweekly or monthly contributions.

Redeemable vs. Non-redeemable Guaranteed Investment Certificates can be redeemable or non-redeemable. As aforementioned, there are some GIC’s which allow you to access your cash during the term. This is referred to as ‘redeemable.’ With a redeemable investment, you will be able to withdraw your cash before maturity. Some redeemable GIC’s specify that you will earn less interest if you cash out prior to maturity.

Non-redeemable Guaranteed Investment Certificates do not allow withdrawals before the maturity date. Non-redeemable GIC’s may offer higher interest rates than redeemable ones. Interest Guaranteed Investment Certificates in Canada can be offer either fixed or variable interest rates.

Fixed Rate GIC’s With a fixed rate GIC, your investment will earn interest at a set rate. That is, the interest that your investment earns will be consistent throughout the term of the investment. The benefit of fixed GIC rates is that you can predict exactly how much your investment will be worth on the maturity date.

Variable Rate GIC’s Variable rate Guaranteed Investment Certificates are either linked to the Canadian prime interest rate or to stock-market performance. With interest-rate linked GIC, you are guaranteed that your money will grow, but you will not know at which rate until maturity. With market-linked GIC’s, you can earn more interest if the stock market does well, but your initial investment will be protected either way.

Benefits of GIC’s The most important benefit offered by this type of investment is safety and security. Your initial investment will be protected. With fixed-rate GIC’s you can also enjoy guaranteed growth and an easy way to project value at maturity. GIC’s are also known to offer excellent interest rates. Finally, GIC’s are typically pretty flexible investments. You can enjoy flexibility in length of term as well as how often you receive payments.

If you live in Canada and are interested in investing your money in a safe instrument, a Guaranteed Investment Certificate may be right for you. To find out more about what is available in your area, visit your local bank.

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Forex Made Easy

Tuesday, April 21st, 2009

Right now, forex trading is the most popular home based business. Forex trading is the recession proof answer to the today’s stock market crisis. Anyone can trade forex now from home by going online.

Forex and stock markets basically work differently. People buy stocks as a long term investment hoping that these stocks are going to appreciate in value in a few years, giving them capital gain to build their retirement portfolios. In forex trading, most of the people trade short term maybe a day, a few days or at most a few months.

Forex markets are open 24 hours, five days a week except on weekends. You can trade forex online anytime of the day. On the other hand stock markets are open only from 9 AM to 5PM. After the stock market closes, you have no way to buy or sell a stock.

90% of the people who trade forex are speculators meaning they are looing for making a quick gain. Many forex traders are day traders. Stock trading has traditionally been a long term investment. Once you buy a stock you have locked in your money for a considerable time.

In forex trading, you are only dealing with mostly 5 currencies: USD, GBP, CHF, EURO and JPY whereas in stock trading, you have to look for promising stocks among thousands of stocks listed on the stock markets.

Forex trading offers you the advantage of lower trading costs as compared to stock trading. In forex trading, there are no commissions, only the spread between the bid/ask price that you have to pay. In stock trading you have a pay a commission to your broker per trade.

During the year 2008, investors have taken a severe beating in the stock markets. This is the worst bear market after 1929. Even blue chip stocks could not weather the financial storm. Many people lost more than 70% of their retirement accounts during 2008.

It is feared that sotck markets will take 2-3 years at least to recover. This bear market has wiped out many investors. But there is always a bull market in forex. Even a small change in dollar or euro exchange rate may be an opportunity for you to make a fortune.

Over the years, forex markets have grown in size. Daily $3+ trillion are being traded in currencies all over the world. If you combine, all the stock exchanges in the world, they still can’t reach 40% of this figure. Currency markets have become so huge that they are beyond the capacity of any single agency or agent to control.

Many people have lost most of their retirement savings in the stock market of 2008. They still don’t know how they are going to recover their retirement accounts again…

Learn forex trading. Yes, forex trading is the answer to this recession. It is not difficult to learn forex trading. If you are willing to give two hours daily to forex training, I believe in 2 months, you can become a forex trader. Take forex trading as your passion or hobby. You are not going to regret it.

You can read my blog where I give many forex trading methods. Most of these methods are risk free. You can try them on your demo account before actually implementing them on your live account. I want you to try one method that works on autopilot and you can try it risk free for 60 days.

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Forex Market Session

Friday, April 17th, 2009

Stock trading and forex trading are altogether two totally different beasts. Stock exchanges are open only for a fixed time each day. You can only trade stocks during this time. On the other had the forex markets are open 24 hours, 5 days a week.

This continuous 24 hour trading at the forex markets is something quite novel for many new traders. Forex is traded Over the Counter (OTC) meaning there is no Central Exchange. Forex market is a global market. When one center is opening, another center is closing. This is very important for a new forex trader to understand.

As there is no open and close of the forex market, many new traders get confused and dont know when the best time when major price action takes place is? So they sit in front of the computer all the time and in the end simply exhaust themselves losing their stamina. A clever way is to divide the 24 hour day into three 8 hour sessions.

Divide each session into two by using 4 hour charts. Since only three major money centers are responsible for most of the turnover in the forex markets, this will help you to see each regions risk appetite and make your trading day more manageable.

The three money centers are: Asia, London and New York. Each session is going to coincide with these three money centers. We will call each session as the Asian, the London and the New York Session.

Asian Market Session: Sydney, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore are the main cities that participate in this session. Major players are the export corporations and the central banks. Sydney opens and with that the forex markets become alive each day. Most of the price action that takes place in this session is unsustainable and jumpy.

London Market Session: London is the center of the global forex markets. The price action that takes place during this session forms the trend in the rest of the day trading. London forex markets are deep and highly developed. London market is also assisted by Paris, Geneva and Frankfurt. Since lot of money is needed to move this market, these moves give a lot of information for the traders.

New York Session: New York comes as the second forex center after London. Both these markets overlap in the morning when New York is opening and London is closing. This is the time when lot of action takes place.

These timings are important for you to know: 00:00 GMT-Sydney starts trading. 11:00 GMT-London trading starts. 15:00 GMT- London trading becomes very active. 17:00 GMT- London trading is active and New York trading opens. 18:00 GMT- London and European trading closes! 19:00 GMT- New York and Chicago traders getting ready for a close!

This overlapping between London and New York is when major price action takes place and new trends are formed or old trends are reversed. London is the market trend setter in fashion as well as forex.

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