Posts Tagged ‘forex trading system’

Exit Strategies In Trading Systems

Wednesday, August 19th, 2009

Many good trading systems use multiple exit strategies. In normal trading system, you need to know when to exit from a gain, and when to exit from a loss. Generally you want to be cutting your profits short, and letting your profits run. At a minimum, you generally want nearly a 3:1 gain to loss. This means you should take profits at 3 times the percentage amount as you cut your losses short. We will use this system and do the following

1) Exit stop at a 7% loss. This stop-loss should sell ALL of your shares. The simple method is to just set the stop and leave it. There are dangers of this because people may be able to see someone make the stop order on the floor, and if they have enough money, they can take advantage of that, selling lots of shares of the stock, pushing the stock price down below the stop, then forcing you and others who may have stops out, and then buying the stock below your price, so the stock will stop out, and then quickly rebound. The more advanced mode is to just watch it, and if it is going to CLOSE below your stop, only then will you exit 10 minutes or so before the markets close. The sophisticated way is to just not use stops, and instead buy puts. this increases the cost of the investment and thus limits your win, but you give up a fixed amount for protection against large losses.. This would insure that the stock doesn’t drop overnight. A failed breakout is signaled if a stock drops 7% below breakout point. If you are buying stocks on the pullbacks, a 7% drop should signify a breaking of support.

2) Set a profit target at 20%. You can use a limit sell order to sell here if you would like, particularly for those who don’t have the time to watch the stock. You should be willing to wait a full 4 months for it to hit it’s target. If it hits the target, you should sell 1/2 to 2/3rds of your shares, and let the rest ride. Also, if your stock hits the price target within 8 weeks (2 months), this signals that your stock is a good one, and you want to hold onto your winners. There is a simple strategy and a sophisticated strategy. The simple strategy is to hold onto your stock until the entire 8 weeks is up. The sophisticated strategy is to sell most or all of your shares, and convert them to an option that you should own at strike price, or very close to it. You should ensure that this transaction is such that in a worst case scenario, you still will have a 5% gain. Generally, you will own say 100shares, sell 100, and buy 1 call contract at the same strike price the stock is at, and secure a profit, while still maintaining the same upside leverage minus the cost of the option and the transaction.

3) Set a trailing stop of 25%. This should serve as a function primarily to exit the remaining 1/3rd to 1/2 of shares that you let ride after you hit your price target of 20%. It is possible that the stock goes up near your target, which will raise this stop to 5% below where you bought it, or if you aren’t using a limit sell, it could spike way up to up 35% from where you buy it, and then quickly come down, and sell out a small portion of your shares for a small gain. This is fine. In this case, either the stock will then proceed to drop below your buy point and go and hit the 7% stop-loss, or it will then bounce and gain until it hits your 20% target. In either case, you will sell the rest of your shares. Of course, if this all happens in a short amount of time, you may attempt a swap as a sophisticated strategy, but generally you should be done with it.

4) You should always keep records. Record how many you bought at what price and which exit(s) were triggered. You want to check all these stocks in a year, or so, and see if you could have made more by adjusting your stops, or adjusting the size of which you sell.

5) Enjoy the profits.

If you are a good system trader, you will make sure that they trading system you use has an excellent exit strategy. At System Trading|Stocks Trading Systems you will learn that an exit strategy will allow you make sure that you have a trading system with greater returns on your average gains than you have losses on your average losses. This is only one small aspect of a trading system but it is a very important one. In fact, your exit strategy will be vital in determining how much capital you allocate when managing your money in a trading system.

In addition, if you can find a stock selection vehicle in combination with a good exit strategy, it will insure that any given investment has a positive expected value. In other words, with a good exit strategy and stock selection that picks winners often enough, you will win more than you lose, provided you manage your money right. Learn these tips as a system trader, and you stand a much better chance at being a profitable trader than someone who does not understand the importance of a good exit strategy within a trading system.

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Trading Systems - Do you have a Trading System?

Monday, August 17th, 2009

A trading system is a methodology of trading. An investor who uses one system and follows a specific set of guidelines when making a decision, follows system trading, and will usually never deviate. A trading system is only one method of trading, and usual requires no thinking. It is possible to have one system that is governed by multiple system.

For example, to have 10 different systems, and select only one stock from each system every month according to the main system’s qualifications.

Someone that uses several Trading Systems is a multiple system trader. They have to either have an overall system that encompasses all of them, or make their own decision on which to follow. Doing so can be dangerous, as the purpose of system is to prevent human error. It is advised to be a system trader who trades one system at a time, or trade multiple systems within a larger core system, and avoid being a multiple systems trader.

Trading System - Trading can be awfully hectic without some kind of methodology. You can’t expect to take on the best traders in the world who have teams and resources at their disposal just by throwing around money at will hoping that it works. You need an actually defined system in order to be able to trade effectively.

Many successful systems are based on earnings and high potential for growth. Stockbee’s trading system often swings for the fences. As a result, it requires a solid degree of protection. Obviously you shouldn’t limit yourself to someone else’s system, you need to find one that is right for you.

There are two kinds of traders, technical traders, and fundamental traders, each has their own system. Of course there are some who use both.

Technical traders

Some system traders, are day traders. Others are swing traders. Still other people are more of a trend trader. Each will have it’s unique system. The system will be based on the technicals. Is it volume that triggers the buy? Is it price movement? A combination of both? Or perhaps it’s pattern trading.

Some people even have trading machines or robots that do the work for them. Others rely on pattern recognition done by a system. The method is to sign up for email alerts, or some form of alerts, then make a purchase based on the software’s recommendation. There are some people that screen down a stock based on strong fundamentals, and only trade those stocks, but trade them based on the technical chart patterns and volume.

They will sell based on a trend break, or rules on when to take gains such as 20% gain according to their system. They will set a stop loss based on their system as well. It might be 4%, or 8%, or it may be a trailing stop.

Fundamental traders

Fundamental traders might do things a little differently. They are looking for improving fundamentals, or stocks that pass through a certain screener. Zacks.com is a great resource if you want to rely on fundamentals. Earnings is always a big part of a system, and the Zacks’ ranking uses earnings revision to get in early when the earnings and company internals appear to be improving. Zacks’ has several screens, and their software allows you to screen stocks according to many different options.

Regardless of your trading system, one thing remains important in every single system. Money Management and loss protection.

It doesn’t matter what the upside is or win rate is, if you can’t protect yourself from major declines, you shouldn’t be trading. I don’t care if your system is 90% effective (no system is and if they say they are, they’re lying), and if the gain is 1,000%. If you put all your money on it repeatedly, eventually you will suffer a loss so catastrophic you will never be able to recover without borrowing money. By taking one loss, you hinder your ability to make money. That is more costly then the potential for greater gains that you would gain by taking additional risk.

Just to illustrate if your system causes you to take a 95% loss, you need a 2000% return just to make up for that loss. You cannot trade like this. No system is better then it’s weakest link. That weak link unfortunately for many people is the ability to manage money. Fortunately, it is a skill that can be learned, and doing so will make you a better trader. Better yet, if you do not wish to be a better trader, you can simply follow the rules of a system that contains a methodology on how to manage money and how much to invest before placing a trade.

I recommend that you either have a trailing stop or a hard stop. You can also buy a protective put if you are afraid of a stock bottoming out overnight and plummeting through the stop. Protective puts are like owning insurance. Unfortunately, you have to continue to buy the insurance as it eventually expires if you don’t use it. Don’t trade options without learning everything about them.

Some puts are not good for some strategies. Longer term trades and Investments will require long-term equity anticipation securities, or LEAPs, where as you may not need to risk as much capital for short term protective puts. A trailing stop should be usually 20%, where a hard stop should be more like 7%. Different systems will require different stops so take this with a grain of salt.

A good investor or trader actually will rarely need to ever be fully invested. There are people that trade on complete margin for a few times the entire year, and the rest of the year they’re on the sideline, but generally the best traders that have a career that lasts have lots of money on the side, even more so if they use options and are unhedged. If you are unhedged, that is only playing one side of the market, (all buys, or only playing one theme such as only playing inflation or only playing deflation), you need to have even more cash on the side.

The lower the win rate, the more money on the side you need, and the smaller your positions should be. Any good system won’t require you to analyze. Having to do a lot of the thinking can cause you to panic and make incorrect decisions. Most people aren’t cut out for that, and that’s why it is a smart thing for many to use a trading system.

If you trade within a system, you have a much better chance at placing winning trades. A trading system will have a solid record of success, evidence that it works and has been working, an understanding of the decline and proper money management planning. If you trade within a system, you can estimate your results, and by doing so attain measurable success consistently with a trading system.

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Is Online Forex Trading A Dependable Way To Earn A Livelihood?

Monday, May 18th, 2009

Due to the current economic downturn, people are venturing into forex trading as a means of earning as they have lost the jobs they had been doing. Can forex trading really take the place of a regular job?

In the forex market, currencies of different countries are traded by brokers in a 24-hour cash market. The buying and selling of various foreign currencies at the same time is known as foreign exchange or forex market. All investments done by the traders are based on a real-time movement of the foreign currency exchange in the market. Forex trading is becoming popular as an investment method for individuals and businessmen nowadays.

Forex trading is one of the most popular money making business. The uses of forex trading are the market is open 24 hours and high liquidity rate which means that it is possible to transfer a large amount of money in and out of a particular currency without varying the price much. Most of the currencies are relatively easy to trade. The opportunity to profit basically arises from the unpredictability of rising and falling nature of prices in the forex markets.

The aim of every investor in forex trading is to make profits out of variability of prices either on a short term or on a long term of the currency market. Investors and traders either buy low in order to sell it at a higher price or they want to sell it high in order to buy back at a low price.

Trading is done over telephone or on electronic networks. This is known as forex online or online currency trading. Some of the main centers of trading are New York, Tokyo, Frankfurt, Sydney and London. Each country has a different time zone and this means that there is a 24-hour forex market excluding weekends around the world as long as there is an open market.

Banks, brokers, and financial firms were generally the big professional players in foreign exchange. In the past, Forex was completely monopolized by them but now even individual investors, provided that they have a thorough knowledge of trading currency markets, can also profit. Truly, today almost anyone can engage in these potentially high-profit investments.

Foreign currency trading has been vastly helped by online trading. The rapid growth of science and technology gives the small investors the chance to compete with big investors. Everyone gets an opportunity to participate in trading of foreign currency. An investor has to open a simple trading account with an online broker and once he is approved for trading, he can start trading immediately. The investor can either trade from the premises of his home or from a laptop if he is on vacation. You do not need a large sum of money to start online forex trading. You can start by opening an account and depositing the minimum amount that is required as per the trading regulations.

Forex trading is now easy to access and take part in and provides a viable way for individuals to run a profitable business from home. However, as always, extremely thorough preparation, planning, research, mental discipline and self-control, combined with a proven profitable trading plan, are absolutely essential if you ever hope to make a success of online forex trading.

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Vital Information About Online Stock Trading

Wednesday, May 13th, 2009

The stock market has taken many years to achieve its present form, and was very different in the past from the present arena that we presently have for online stock trading. Moreover, stock trading itself has progressively developed and is now an excellent means of making money, provided you know what you are doing. By providing investors with different options like breakout systems, online stock trading, options trading, speculation, hedging, stock swing trading, the stock market gives investors and traders enormous potential for substantial profits (or losses!).

However, it is really a necessity to have a clear-cut proven trading plan and not dive into trading without being aware of the basic concepts of stock trading. Moreover, one should spend lots of time in knowing the procedures and policies of online stock trading.

It is the opinion of financial experts that you should have confidence in your abilities, be responsible for all of your actions and have a good focus. You should never lose your cool in the sea of traders. It is important to have your own trading approach which could be quite different from that of other traders and remember to always trade with great care and caution.

You have to realize that you may have to spend some money in order to make money and thereby learn a valuable lesson in the process. You should train yourself thoroughly if you want to incur less of losses. You have to do a thorough research before you plunge into online stock trading and take the advice of professional brokers like the services offered, trading type, etc.

There are many benefits to having access to the Internet and thereby doing online stock trading. Basically, online stock trading comprises of purchasing and selling of shares automatically, with no human intervention. To get involved, you need to find a good, reliable online brokers and then open an account with them. You then deposit some funds in your account, according their minimum requirements, and you are ready to trade stocks. Be aware that there exist “execution-only” brokers; these give no any advice but instead just follow your trade orders, and are therefore cheaper than a full-service broker.

Online stock trading is one of the best ways of investment opportunities in the stock market and helps to create an investment portfolio. Naturally, you will require access to a computer with an internet connection. Also, discipline and a trading plan will count while trading. Having a complete and thorough understanding about money management will add to your success in stock trading. In fact, many stock traders fail in the stock market due to lack of understanding about money management.

Will you consider futures or forex after stock market trading? Forex is the largest financial market in the whole world. Unlike the futures markets, the forex markets are open round the clock.

To sum it up, it is relatively easy to do online trading. Take note that there are inherent risks and it is possible to lose all your money if you are not aware of the current stock market. It is possible for persons to make nice profits if they take time to research the markets and have a valid trading approach.

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What Everybody Ought To Know About Currency Trading Systems

Tuesday, May 12th, 2009

Forex trading is definitely one of the easiest ways to earn unlimited profits. But is it really easy to trade in the Forex market?

If you do some research online, you will notice that the web is filled with e-books and sites that contain information about the latest and the best trading systems. Before you plan to invest any serious money in any one of them, you have to check if the assumed trading system really works. There are many faulty systems that may not work and they might have been constructed in a short span of time make quick bucks. It is most certainly possible for you to create a reliable trading system that you could depend upon and anticipate success. A reliable forex system can fetch continuous profits for a long period of time. However, it is an enormous task and you need to be very practical when it comes to forex currency trading systems.

What is the exact meaning of forex trading? The other term for forex trading is currency trading. If you want to trade in foreign exchange, you have to open a trading account with a small amount of money. Forex trading is open to anyone who is interested in it.

There are many factors to consider if you are willing to trade currencies and are searching for a good trading system. Firstly, the trading system should have a logical setup. If you cannot follow the system, it might not be of much help to you. You must understand the overall logic of the system if you want to use it productively. Does the system match with your own way of seeing things? Practically, it should match with your views lest you might struggle while trading. When the system is in line with your thinking, you will not find it very difficult to stay with it for a long time.

As you are just beginning to trade, you must be aware of the pitfalls initially. You may not know when you are going to be burdened with a low trading capital due to an unexpected turn in the market. This happens all the time. Even when you are faced with a downturn, the most important thing is to stay in business.

The Forex market is rapidly shifting and simple systems can work effectively. There are complicated trading systems out there but this is no guarantee of success especially if you have no clear understanding of their underlying logic. Rather, you should pick a system that is intuitive for you, user-friendly, very rational and disciplined. Many traders fail because of their own negative emotions, which totally undermine their ability to trade a fixed rules system. You must be able to control your emotions completely so that your trading decisions will be unaffected.

The forex market gives lots of profit-making opportunities. As long as the value of currencies fluctuates, cautious traders can always make plenty of money. If you are pretty serious about this and want to be successful in foreign exchange trading, you must analyze the markets thoroughly for a long time to follow how it functions.

Search the perfect trading system that will suit you, either it could be made by your or bought from a well-known company. Also remember that apart from trading of currencies, you can also try out futures and options trading. Option trading is different in that it involves trading of rights of stocks. It is also applicable to trading of the rights of foreign currencies.

An important point is that the system you create or buy should be valid in several other systems too. When you have a profitable trading system, you have the resources to trade in many markets quickly and efficiently and earn money from all of them. This is achieved through hardwork, practice and perseverance.

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